Economic Charts

The consensus estimate is that earnings will rebound in the coming quarters into and through 2025. This is a warning to investors as expectations are priced into the market 6-12 months in advanc... [Read More]

There is an increasing probability that the 10 year yield is topping. Fear, like we are seeing in the stock market, causes risk off. One of the major risk off trades is a run to safety in bonds.... [Read More]

Initial Claims for unemployment inched up in the latest week to 221,000. The number had been stuck for quite a while around the 210,000 level. In the last year, claims have remained at or below ... [Read More]

An inverted yield curve is when the 2 year yield goes above the 10 year yield. The yield curve has been inverted since July 2022. Most investors freaked out when the yield curve inverted, but if... [Read More]

Incredible chart here showing the hiring that the US government is doing. Citizens must ask, what would the Non Farm Payroll number have been for the past year if the government was not hiring l... [Read More]

The Federal Reserve has two mandates, keep prices stable (inflation low) and to keep employment high. This dual mandate was given to them in 1977. From that point on, they began to tinker with t... [Read More]

Home prices have dropped about 20% since the peak in October of 2022. While this decline may sound like good news for home buyers, interest rates have soared, making those homes even more expens... [Read More]

In just the last 10 years GDP has risen by 26.26% while market cap of the entire stock market has surged 169%. This is the biggest divergence between GDP and market cap ever seen in the United S... [Read More]

The 10 year yield chart is indicating a sharp down move in yields is likely. Considering the 10 year yield is already factoring the Federal Reserve rate cuts into next year, this signals major e... [Read More]

The wealth gap among the top 1% and the lower 50% keeps widening. Since Covid, the bottom 50% of people in the United States added $900 billion in assets. The top 1% added $12 trillion. This wil... [Read More]