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This reads like a serious macro-trader note: the PMI beat is real, but Prices Paid at 75.2 is the number that keeps the inflation problem live.

Manufacturing Expansion Accelerates in October 2026 — Prices at 75.2 Mean the Fed Isn't Done

The October 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI beat consensus at 55.5, up 1.0 point from September's 54.5. But the headline understates the tension inside this report: Prices Paid at 75.2 signal persistent...[Read More]

Published At: Nov 02, 2026

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Q2 2026 GDP third estimate: real GDP revised up to 2.2%

Q2 GDP Revised Up to 2.2%, and the Upgrade Came From Real Growth, Not Prices

BEA's third estimate raised Q2 2026 real GDP to 2.2% annualized from 1.5%, a 0.7-point upgrade led by investment, consumer spending and government....[Read More]

Published At: Oct 01, 2026

PCE August 2026 data showing core inflation steady at 3.0% and personal saving rate falling to 4.1%, the lowest since November 2022

PCE August 2026: Real Spending Jumped 0.6% on Zero Real Income Growth, and Core Inflation Held at 3.0%

August 2026 PCE showed core inflation holding at 3.0% for a sixth month at or above that level. The bigger story is in the spending table: real con...[Read More]

Published At: Oct 01, 2026

This reads like a trader correctly ignoring the sub-200K headline and watching the continued-claims drift for the first real sign that labor-market stasis is turning into softening.

197,000 and Falling — But the Labor Market Isn't Accelerating

Initial jobless claims came in at 197,000 for the week ending September 19, 2026, down 1,000 from the prior week. The 4-week moving average dropped...[Read More]

Published At: Sep 24, 2026

This reads like a trader’s claims framework: ignore the 196,000 headline by itself, watch 203,250 and 1,730,000, and understand why the Fed cut case just got harder.

196,000 Headline. 203,250 Trend. 1,730,000 Confirmation.

Initial jobless claims fell to 196,000 for the week ending September 12, 2026, pulling the 4-week moving average to 203,250 — below the 205,000 bas...[Read More]

Published At: Sep 17, 2026

August 2026 CPI chart: headline 3.71% YoY driven by gasoline, core CPI 0.29% MoM ahead of September FOMC rate decision

August 2026 CPI: Gasoline Owns the Headline. The Core Beat Is the Number That Reaches the Fed.

August 2026 CPI rose +0.40% MoM and +3.40% YoY, with gasoline driving more than a third of the increase. The headline is an energy story, but core ...[Read More]

Published At: Sep 14, 2026

This reads like a trader’s claims note built around the right distinction: employers are not firing, but the data still has not proven they are hiring.

Claims at 206,000: The Floor Is Holding, Hiring Is the Real Question

Initial jobless claims fell 1,000 to 206,000 for the week ending September 5, 2026, with the 4-week average down 1,500 to the same 206,000. Continu...[Read More]

Published At: Sep 10, 2026

This reads like a trader-minded labor-market note that correctly sees August NFP as a headline recovery without a private-sector confirmation.

August Payrolls +162K: One Strong Month Inside a 31K Year

August payrolls came in at 162,000, the strongest month since March, but the three-month average is just 71,000 and the trailing twelve-month avera...[Read More]

Published At: Sep 04, 2026

This reads like a disciplined labor-market framework: layoffs are still quiet, but the slowing reabsorption rate is the signal traders should track.

Jobless Claims Aug 29, 2026: 206K Initial, 207.25K Four-Week Average Grinding Higher

Initial claims came in at 206,000 for the week ending August 29, a clean low-layoff print. The number worth watching is the 4-week average at 207,2...[Read More]

Published At: Sep 03, 2026

This reads like a trader-minded labor-market diagnostic: the openings headline says resilience, but the quits rate says the workers have already changed their behavior.

JOLTS July 2026: Openings Rose 89,000, Hiring Fell 294,000, and the Quits Rate Sat on Its Post-Pandemic Floor

July 2026 JOLTS showed job openings rising 89,000 to 7.271 million, but hiring fell 294,000 and the quits rate held at 1.9%, matching the lowest re...[Read More]

Published At: Sep 01, 2026

This reads like a macro trader saying the clean number matters less than the absence of movement: no labor crack, no Fed signal, no change in regime.

Claims at 203K: The Headline Fell, the 4-Week Trend Turned Up

Initial jobless claims fell 4,000 to 203,000 for the week ending August 22, 2026, while continued claims dropped 18,000 to 1,778,000. But the 4-wee...[Read More]

Published At: Aug 27, 2026