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Average Hourly Earnings Keep Going Higher, Contributing To Inflation
Average Hourly Earnings Keep Going Higher, Contributing To Inflation
A tight labor market fuels competition for workers, forcing businesses to offer higher wages to attract talent. While beneficial for employees, this upward pressure on wages contributes to inflatio...[Read More]
Published At: Feb 08, 2025
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Follow The Money: Reverse Repo And Its Power Over The Stock Market
Follow The Money: Reverse Repo And Its Power Over The Stock Market
Reverse repo drains or adds liquidity to markets. Stocks topped as banks parked cash at the Fed and bottomed in October 2022 when $2 trillion flowe...[Read More]
Published At: Apr 28, 2024
Core PCE inflation chart rising to 3.7% amid stagflation concerns
Economic PCE Inflation Data Jumps As Markets Fear Stagflation
Core PCE jumped to 3.7% annually as a surprise GDP drop stokes stagflation fears. With commodities soaring, the Fed may be handcuffed even if the e...[Read More]
Published At: Apr 26, 2024
10-year Treasury yield chart in a parallel channel with a downside target of 4.40%
10 Year Yield Likely Headed Down To 4.40%
The 10-year yield has likely topped after spiking to 4.70% on hawkish Fed comments. Technicals point to a pullback toward the channel floor at 4.40%.[Read More]
Published At: Apr 22, 2024
USD/JPY chart showing the yen collapsing against the U.S. dollar
Yen Collapse Against Dollar Continues
USD/JPY has broken out as the yen keeps collapsing. With Japan's 263% debt-to-GDP ratio, rising rates pose huge risks, likely forcing Bank of Japan...[Read More]
Published At: Apr 22, 2024
Chart of corporate insider selling at levels last seen before the 2021 market top
Insider Selling Stats
Insider selling has matched the heavy levels seen before the 2021 market top, when the S&P 500 fell over 27% — a warning sign as executives unl...[Read More]
Published At: Apr 19, 2024
Infographic showing the declining purchasing power of the U.S. dollar over time
Powerful: Purchasing Power Of A Dollar
Money printing and inflation have sharply eroded what $1 can buy. Shrinkflation and decades of currency debasement show how little the dollar is wo...[Read More]
Published At: Apr 14, 2024
Chart of consensus S&P 500 earnings estimates projecting a rebound through 2025
Warning: Earnings Are Expected To Rebound
Consensus expects an earnings rebound through 2025, but those hopes are already priced in. With consensus often wrong on rate cuts and inflation, a...[Read More]
Published At: Apr 13, 2024
10-year Treasury yield chart showing an inverse head-and-shoulders with a 2.75% target
Technical Analysis: Head And Shoulder On The 10 Year Yield
An inverse head-and-shoulders is forming on the 10-year yield as risk-off bond buying builds. A neckline break targets 2.75%, a sharp drop raising ...[Read More]
Published At: Apr 13, 2024
Initial jobless claims chart with the key 225,000 breakout level highlighted
Watch This Level: Initial Jobless Claims Inching Up
Initial jobless claims ticked up to 221,000 after holding near 210,000. A break above 225,000 would signal weakening growth, with 250,000 and 300,0...[Read More]
Published At: Apr 07, 2024
Yield curve chart showing inversions preceding recessions since 1990
Yield Curve Tells Investors When To Expect A Recession
The 2s/10s yield curve has been inverted since July 2022, but history since 1990 shows recessions hit when the curve un-inverts — making that the l...[Read More]
Published At: Apr 07, 2024
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