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Average Hourly Earnings Keep Going Higher, Contributing To Inflation
Average Hourly Earnings Keep Going Higher, Contributing To Inflation
A tight labor market fuels competition for workers, forcing businesses to offer higher wages to attract talent. While beneficial for employees, this upward pressure on wages contributes to inflatio...[Read More]
Published At: Feb 08, 2025
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Chart showing U.S. government hiring offsetting private-sector job losses in payrolls data
The Government Keeps Hiring, Offsetting Job Losses
Government hiring has propped up Non-Farm Payrolls, masking private-sector weakness. With U.S. debt nearing $35 trillion, that support cannot last ...[Read More]
Published At: Apr 07, 2024
Chart showing rising full-time job losses since the Federal Reserve's 1977 dual mandate
The Federal Reserve Is Making Recessions Much Worse
Since the Fed's 1977 dual mandate, aggressive rate cuts and money printing have prevented normal recessions — but at the cost of deeper collapses a...[Read More]
Published At: Apr 07, 2024
Chart of U.S. median home sales prices versus interest rates showing a historical recession signal
Investor Insight: Home Sales Price vs Interest Rate
U.S. home prices fell about 20% from the October 2022 peak as interest rates soared. Historically, rising rates lead home prices lower with a lag —...[Read More]
Published At: Mar 26, 2024
Market cap to GDP ratio chart showing the most extended divergence on record
Market Cap To GDP Most Extended Ever
Over 10 years GDP rose 26% while total stock market cap surged 169% — the widest divergence ever recorded. A reversion toward GDP would mean a majo...[Read More]
Published At: Mar 25, 2024
10-year Treasury yield chart showing a bear flag between 4% and 4.4% with downside toward 3%
10 Year Yield Chart Signals Weak Economy Coming
The 10-year Treasury yield is chopping in a bear flag between 4% and 4.4%. A breakdown points toward 3%, signaling a weakening economy that may for...[Read More]
Published At: Mar 25, 2024
Chart of the widening U.S. wealth gap between the top 1% and bottom 50%
It Keeps Widening: Wealth Gap Stats Will Shock
The U.S. wealth gap keeps widening: since Covid the top 1% added $12 trillion in assets versus $900 billion for the bottom 50%, a divide tied to Fe...[Read More]
Published At: Mar 25, 2024
Chart showing U.S. bankruptcy filings spiking toward Covid and 2008-09 financial crisis highs
Warning: Bankruptcy Filings Spike
Bankruptcy filings are spiking toward Covid-era highs and near 2008-09 crisis levels — even amid strong spending — a warning sign for investors bef...[Read More]
Published At: Mar 25, 2024
Reverse Repo facility chart showing 2022 stock market low signal
How Reverse Repo Signaled The 2022 Stock Market Low
How the Reverse Repo facility signaled the 2022 stock market low by influencing bank liquidity — essential context for investors.[Read More]
Published At: Mar 25, 2024
Chart of rising U.S. government, credit card and auto loan debt levels
Debt Spiral: Gov And Consumers Addicted
U.S. government debt tops $34 trillion while consumers keep spending, pushing credit card debt to $1.3 trillion and auto loans above $1.6 trillion ...[Read More]
Published At: Mar 25, 2024
US Debt Diagram
Why Money Printing Never Went Away: Fed Balance Sheet, M2, US Debt
How the Fed's balance sheet expansion and M2 growth signal inflation's return despite interest rate hikes — a look at why money printing never went...[Read More]
Published At: Mar 25, 2024
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