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Trading The Coming Top In Rates (10 Year Yield)
Trading The Coming Top In Rates (10 Year Yield)
Growing concerns about inflation, government debt, and potential tariffs are pushing the 10-year Treasury yield higher. Recent economic reports, including the Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer P...[Read More]
Published At: Dec 29, 2024
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Consumer Confidence: Where It Is And How It Is Calculated
Consumer Confidence: Where It Is And How It Is Calculated
Consumer confidence has been inching higher since the bear market lows of 2022. This also matches when expectations changed from Federal Reserve hi...[Read More]
Published At: Oct 13, 2024
Federal Reserve Never Unwinds Their Debt Prior To The Next Crisis
Federal Reserve Never Unwinds Their Debt Prior To The Next Crisis
The Federal Reserve is addicted to debt, just like the rest of the country. Their plan has been to take on massive loans (balance sheet) during a c...[Read More]
Published At: Oct 06, 2024
Home Prices Signal A Slowing Housing Market But Not Collapsing
Home Prices Signal A Slowing Housing Market But Not Collapsing
Home prices have flattened out over the last year, ending the vertical surge. Per the chart above, investors can see that the price of new home sal...[Read More]
Published At: Sep 29, 2024
10 Year Yield Target: Based On Trend Line Analysis
10 Year Yield Target: Based On Trend Line Analysis
The 10 year yield is trading at $3.655%, much lower than the 5.02% highs last seen in October 2023. However, the Federal Reserve has yet to lower r...[Read More]
Published At: Sep 15, 2024
Credit Card Delinquency Rate (90 Days Or More)
Credit Card Delinquency Rate (90 Days Or More)
As the labor market quickly cools, investors should pay attention to the credit card delinquency rate. The credit card delinquency rate of 90 days ...[Read More]
Published At: Sep 08, 2024
Yield Curve Flattens To 0, Historically, Next Is The Recession
Yield Curve Flattens To 0, Historically, Next Is The Recession
The 2 and the 10 year yield have been inverted for the longest period in history. The yield curve has been inverted since July of 2022. Historicall...[Read More]
Published At: Sep 01, 2024
U.S. Home Inventory Data Analysis
U.S. Home Inventory Data Analysis
U.S. home inventory has been rising quickly over the last six months. However, looking back at data since 2000, the overall inventory is still hist...[Read More]
Published At: Aug 25, 2024
The U.S Debt-To-GDP And Its Economic Implications
The U.S Debt-To-GDP And Its Economic Implications
The U.S. debt-to-GDP ratio is a crucial economic indicator that compares the country's total national debt to its Gross Domestic Product (GDP). It ...[Read More]
Published At: Aug 18, 2024
Understanding U.S. Debt-To-GDP And Why It Matters
Understanding U.S. Debt-To-GDP And Why It Matters
The debt-to-GDP ratio in the United States is a critical economic indicator that measures the country's national debt relative to its economic outp...[Read More]
Published At: Aug 11, 2024
Yield Curve Bull Flag Signals Un-inversion Imminent
Yield Curve Bull Flag Signals Un-inversion Imminent
Investors need to prepare for a recession. Historically, the data shows that the inversion of the yield curve is just a warning of what is to come....[Read More]
Published At: Jul 28, 2024
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