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Featured Article

This reads like a trader’s claims framework: ignore the 196,000 headline by itself, watch 203,250 and 1,730,000, and understand why the Fed cut case just got harder.

196,000 Headline. 203,250 Trend. 1,730,000 Confirmation.

Initial jobless claims fell to 196,000 for the week ending September 12, 2026, pulling the 4-week moving average to 203,250 — below the 205,000 baseline that has held most of the year. Continued cl...[Read More]

Published At: Sep 17, 2026

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Latest

U-6 underemployment rate chart rising to 7.3% as a recession warning indicator

Importance Of U-6 Unemployment Data

U-6 unemployment captures underemployed workers and has reliably signaled recessions for 50 years. Now rising to 7.3%, it hints a hard landing may ...[Read More]

Published At: Mar 25, 2024

CPI inflation chart showing year-over-year and month-over-month data from the 1960s to present

CPI Data Charts & Analysis - Inflation

CPI is the key consumer inflation gauge. After peaking at 9% in June 2022, inflation has stalled above 3% as a strong labor market keeps prices abo...[Read More]

Published At: Mar 25, 2024

U.S. GDP chart showing growth to $27.94 trillion since the 2008 financial crisis

US GDP Charts And Analysis

U.S. GDP has nearly doubled since 2008 to $27.94 trillion, but stimulus, low rates and rising debt raise the risk of stagflation if inflation stays...[Read More]

Published At: Mar 25, 2024

Fed Funds rate chart showing 5.33% level and its impact on inflation

Fed Funds Rate: Interest Rate Analysis

How the Federal Reserve's hike to a 5.33% Fed Funds Rate aims to curb inflation and what it means for the 10-year yield.[Read More]

Published At: Mar 25, 2024

Case-Shiller Home Price Index chart at all-time highs

Case-Shiller Home Price Analysis

The Case-Shiller Home Price Index is at all-time highs as low inventory and locked-in 3% mortgages keep supply tight, frustrating the Fed's afforda...[Read More]

Published At: Mar 25, 2024