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Featured Article

This reads like a trader-minded labor-market diagnostic: the openings headline says resilience, but the quits rate says the workers have already changed their behavior.

JOLTS July 2026: Openings Rose 89,000, Hiring Fell 294,000, and the Quits Rate Sat on Its Post-Pandemic Floor

July 2026 JOLTS showed job openings rising 89,000 to 7.271 million, but hiring fell 294,000 and the quits rate held at 1.9%, matching the lowest reading of the post-pandemic expansion. With hiring ...[Read More]

Published At: Sep 01, 2026

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Job Openings In Consistent Decline For The Last 18 Months

Job Openings In Consistent Decline For The Last 18 Months

JOLTS job openings have declined for 18 months, shrinking the jobs-per-seeker ratio. History shows openings fall first, then unemployment spikes — ...[Read More]

Published At: Apr 27, 2024

Monthly Non Farm Payrolls Don't Tell The Whole Story

Monthly Non Farm Payrolls Don't Tell The Whole Story

Strong Non-Farm Payrolls mask a weaker reality: part-time jobs are surging while full-time roles decline, and the government is a major net job cre...[Read More]

Published At: Apr 27, 2024

US Economic Metrics: U-6 Unemployment Keeps Rising

U-6 Unemployment Keeps Rising

U-6 underemployment has risen for nearly 18 months while the headline rate stays low — a pattern that has preceded every recession, now paired with...[Read More]

Published At: Apr 27, 2024

U.S. quarter-over-quarter GDP chart showing Q1 2024 slowing to 1.6%

GDP Stats (Quarter over Quarter)

Q1 2024 GDP slowed sharply to 1.6% versus 2.5% expected, down from 3.4%. With PCE, CPI and PPI all rising, the data raises the risk of stagflation.[Read More]

Published At: Apr 27, 2024

U-6 underemployment rate chart spiking above 7% as a recession leading indicator

U-6 Unemployment Report

The U-6 underemployment rate has spiked above 7%. As a leading indicator, it has historically risen ahead of recessions even while the headline rat...[Read More]

Published At: Apr 14, 2024

U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls chart showing job gains driven by government and part-time work

US Non Farm Payrolls Report

Non-Farm Payrolls look robust, but heavy government hiring and a rising share of part-time work mask declining full-time employment — a potential w...[Read More]

Published At: Apr 14, 2024

U.S. unemployment report chart showing the rate near historic lows

US Unemployment Report

The U.S. unemployment rate sits near historic lows, but critics note it counts part-time workers seeking full-time jobs as employed — masking growi...[Read More]

Published At: Apr 14, 2024

U.S. JOLTS job openings chart showing openings still elevated above recession levels

US Job Openings Data (JOLTS)

JOLTS still shows more job openings than job seekers, keeping the labor market solid. But signs that part-time openings are rising while full-time ...[Read More]

Published At: Apr 14, 2024

PCE inflation chart, the Federal Reserve's preferred gauge, ticking higher

PCE Inflation Data Chart

PCE is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge. It has crept higher over recent months, signaling that inflation is moving up again despite...[Read More]

Published At: Apr 14, 2024

ISM services and manufacturing PMI chart hovering near the 50 expansion-contraction line

ISM Services & Manufacturing PMI Chart

ISM services and manufacturing PMIs have been weak, hovering just above the 50 line that separates expansion from contraction — a potential signal ...[Read More]

Published At: Apr 14, 2024