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This reads like a serious macro-trader note: the PMI beat is real, but Prices Paid at 75.2 is the number that keeps the inflation problem live.

Manufacturing Expansion Accelerates in October 2026 — Prices at 75.2 Mean the Fed Isn't Done

The October 2026 ISM Manufacturing PMI beat consensus at 55.5, up 1.0 point from September's 54.5. But the headline understates the tension inside this report: Prices Paid at 75.2 signal persistent...[Read More]

Published At: Nov 02, 2026

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U6 unemployment rate chart showing broader underemployment in the U.S. economy

The U6 Unemployment Report Tells A More Truthful Tale

The U6 unemployment rate now sits at 7.8% — a clearer picture of true unemployment and underemployment in the U.S. economy. Here are the details.[Read More]

Published At: Dec 08, 2024

PCE inflation chart showing sticky readings above the Federal Reserve's 2% target with rate policy implications

PCE Data Shows Inflation Getting Sticky Above 2% Fed Goal

The latest PCE data shows inflation remaining sticky above the Federal Reserve's 2% target, with the Fed's preferred gauge showing an uptick. Verif...[Read More]

Published At: Dec 01, 2024

Producer Price Index year-over-year chart showing the creeping higher trend with inflation analysis

PPI (Producer Price Index) Year-Over-Year Continues To Creep Higher

The Producer Price Index (PPI) crept higher to 2.4% year-over-year in the latest reading, raising concerns that upstream inflation pressures could ...[Read More]

Published At: Nov 16, 2024

Non-Farm Payrolls chart showing monthly U.S. job gains and losses from the BLS establishment survey

Non Farm Payrolls: An In-Depth Look

The Non-Farm Payrolls report tracks monthly U.S. job changes across all non-farm sectors, drawn from the BLS establishment and household surveys. K...[Read More]

Published At: Nov 02, 2024

Global unemployment chart showing near-doubling from 115 million in 1991 to 210 million with worldwide trend analysis

Delving Into The Stats: Unemployed Worldwide Continues To Spike

Despite positive headline economic indicators, global unemployment has nearly doubled since 1991 — rising from 115 million to over 210 million peop...[Read More]

Published At: Oct 20, 2024

Initial unemployment claims rising trend chart with 300,000 recession signal threshold highlighted

Initial Claims (Unemployment Filings) Trending Higher

Initial unemployment claims recently spiked to 258,000, approaching the 300,000 threshold that has historically preceded recessions. Verified Inves...[Read More]

Published At: Oct 13, 2024

JOLTS job openings declining trend chart showing labor market cooling toward long-term historical averages

JOLTS Data Analysis: Understanding The Job Opening Data

U.S. JOLTS job openings have been declining toward longer-term historical norms, signaling a labor market that is cooling but not yet in recession ...[Read More]

Published At: Sep 29, 2024

PCE inflation gauge chart with comparison to CPI and PPI showing why the Federal Reserve favors this inflation measure

Exploring The Inflation PCE Data And Why It Is Fed Favored

The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index is the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure because it captures a broader basket o...[Read More]

Published At: Sep 22, 2024

Manufacturing PMI gauge showing 47.20 below the 50 expansion threshold with economic contraction analysis

Manufacturing PMI Analysis: A Contracting Economy

U.S. Manufacturing PMI at 47.20 signals an economy in contraction — any reading below 50 indicates the manufacturing sector is shrinking. Verified ...[Read More]

Published At: Sep 15, 2024

U.S. national debt counter exceeding $35 trillion with analysis of rising fiscal risks for investors

The Rising Risks Of Ever Rising U.S. Debt

With U.S. national debt exceeding $35 trillion, investors face a sobering reality: governments historically borrow during recessions and pay down d...[Read More]

Published At: Sep 08, 2024